Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.127686 0.150022 0.174973 0.204892 0.239780 0.279163 0.326988
2025-11-23 0.091709 0.119681 0.154197 0.199854 0.258602 0.331599 0.429158
2025-11-30 0.074468 0.105105 0.145819 0.203738 0.283883 0.390742 0.543943
2025-12-07 0.061758 0.093000 0.137133 0.203789 0.301681 0.439935 0.649811
2025-12-14 0.051194 0.081592 0.126888 0.198964 0.310442 0.475934 0.739890
2025-12-21 0.044053 0.073873 0.120482 0.198185 0.324035 0.519326 0.844765
2025-12-28 0.039962 0.070176 0.119487 0.205231 0.349996 0.583770 0.988977
2026-01-04 0.036931 0.067680 0.119909 0.214323 0.379939 0.657349 1.155856
2026-01-11 0.033703 0.064304 0.118276 0.219474 0.403481 0.722452 1.315339
2026-01-18 0.030207 0.059896 0.114176 0.219557 0.417831 0.772904 1.454372
2026-01-25 0.026245 0.054018 0.106592 0.212158 0.417435 0.796761 1.547553
2026-02-01 0.022716 0.048467 0.098874 0.203419 0.413243 0.812795 1.627277
2026-02-08 0.020421 0.045249 0.095588 0.203594 0.427658 0.867923 1.793422
2026-02-15 0.017821 0.041024 0.089760 0.197956 0.429996 0.900490 1.920438
2026-02-22 0.016411 0.039154 0.088537 0.201730 0.452140 0.974995 2.141431
2026-03-01 0.014869 0.036739 0.085788 0.201771 0.466222 1.034352 2.337551
2026-03-08 0.013172 0.033687 0.081185 0.196993 0.468985 1.069855 2.486194
2026-03-15 0.011955 0.031602 0.078496 0.196221 0.480643 1.125892 2.686738
2026-03-22 0.011344 0.030932 0.079047 0.203199 0.511206 1.227572 3.002957
2026-03-29 0.010890 0.030598 0.080361 0.212203 0.547728 1.346950 3.374222
2026-04-05 0.010260 0.029697 0.080136 0.217304 0.575267 1.448249 3.713849
2026-04-12 0.009446 0.028164 0.078076 0.217387 0.590145 1.520710 3.991185
2026-04-19 0.008392 0.025784 0.073456 0.210059 0.584910 1.543007 4.145381